Report: China-Russia alignment – a threat to Europe's security
The experts argue in this report that since the start of the war in Ukraine, China-Russia alignment has evolved from a mere challenge into a complex security threat to Europe and its transatlantic partners.
Here are some of the key findings by the authors Natalie Sabanadze (Senior Research Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House), Abigaël Vasselier (Director Policy & European Affairs and Head of Program ForeignRelations at MERICS) and Gunnar Wiegand (Visiting Distinguished Fellow at GMF):
- The new China-Russia alignment is characterized by a strong, flexible political bond but lacks a shared ideology or legal framework. It reflects their mutual use of the political relationship as a tool to achieve their respective objectives and is highly contingent on external factors.
- China is providing Russia with an economic lifeline, helping Moscow to circumvent Western sanctions and expand its military-industrial complex with unrestricted exports of critical dual-use goods.
- China is supporting Russia also with hybrid operations and increased military cooperation, reducing Russia’s diplomatic isolation and promoting Russia’s narrative in the Global South.
- Attempts to drive a wedge between the two “limitless partners” are likely to be counterproductive. Instead, the key is to change Beijing’s calculus for supporting Moscow.
